Fast and Furious: Now They’re Really Gunning for Trump
Fast and Furious: Now
They’re Really Gunning for Trump
MAY 18, 2017
Here’s what I saw unfold in
the media during the 24 hours from Monday to Tuesday afternoon (May 15-16).
On Monday, I saw blaring
headlines throughout the day on Twitter about how Trump had betrayed some
“highly-classified” intelligence secrets to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei
Lavrov during their meeting last week. I was busy and paid little attention to
this news, but I figured Trump must have committed one of his hallmark
impetuous faux-pas involving some massive security breach,
given the hysterical tone of the coverage.
I awoke Tuesday to read the
stories in the New York Times (NYT), and the Washington Post (WaPo), sourced to anonymous
“current and former government officials,” recounting that Trump had told the
Russians a big secret—the NYT did not specify what, but WaPo identified
it as an “Islamic State terrorist threat related to the use of laptop computers
on aircraft.” As both papers acknowledge—though WaPo makes the irrelevant point
that it would be illegal “for almost anyone
in government”—Trump, as president, did nothing illegal in telling the Russians
this, and, according to the NYT’s own sources, and to National Security advisor
Lt. Gen. McMaster and Secretary of State Rex Tillerson—the only people cited
who were actually in the room—Trump “discussed the contents of the
intelligence, but not the sources and methods used to collect it.”
Per McMaster: “The
president and the foreign minister reviewed common threats from terrorist
organizations to include threats to aviation. At no time were any intelligence
sources or methods discussed, and no military operations were disclosed that were
not already known publicly.” Neither of the articles, and no one cited in them,
disputed this. Per WaPo: “He did not reveal the specific
intelligence-gathering method, but he described how the Islamic State was
pursuing elements of a specific plot and how much harm such an attack could
cause under varying circumstances.”
So far, I was seeing
nothing to break a sweat over. Is there some problem with notifying Russia—or
anyone else, for that matter—of an Islamic State threat to blow up civilian
aircraft with laptop bombs? Is the idea that we’re supposed to sit back and let
it happen? What sane person wouldn’t be glad this warning was given to Russia,
and wouldn’t want Russia to give it to us if the circumstances were reversed?
Is this not a routine exchange of threat information in a closed principals’
meeting?
Besides, was there really
any great secret here? I had seen a number of reports in the last few weeks
that the government was “likely to expand [the] airline
laptop ban” and that “U.S. Intelligence and Law
Enforcement Agencies believe ISIS” can now “effectively
conceal explosives in laptops and other electronic devices.” I’m going to take
a wild guess and conjecture that, if ISIS were planning something with laptops
on airplanes, the group would have read the same reports and figured out that
someone was on to them. So that cat was out of the bag before Trump said
anything to Lavrov. And it was not Trump, but the media, who revealed
knowledge of this plot publicly, before and after the Lavrov meeting!
No, the big “alarming” deal
here wasn’t that Trump revealed the ISIS plot, but that knowledge of it was
based on information provided by “a Middle Eastern ally that closely guards its
own secrets,” and was shared “without the express permission of the ally who
provided it.” Trump committed a “breach of espionage etiquette.”
There was no accusation
that Trump said who that ally was, or even that “the intelligence came from a
Middle Eastern ally or precisely how it was gathered.” So the only way, this
Tuesday morning, we and the Russians knew that some “ally” was involved was
because, not Donald Trump, but some anonymous “officials,” through the NYT and WaPo, revealed
it to the whole wide world.
Only in the more “granular”
detail in the coverage could I find the sinful “breach of etiquette” that Trump
supposedly committed, the one and only specific thing Trump was accused of
revealing that he shouldn’t have: “the city in Syria where the ally picked up
the information about the plot.” Supposedly, by naming the city, Trump gave
Russia an “important clue about the source of the information,” and raised “the fear”
that, with the name of that city, Russia “could disrupt the ally’s
espionage efforts” against ISIS. [my italics]
Another bunch of woulds, coulds,
and fears that. After reading this, even I was flabbergasted
at how thin this gruel was——and how desperately the media and
politicians were trying to make a meal out of it. Republican Bob Corker
was quoted about how “compromise[ing] a source is something you just don’t do,”
and Democrat Mark Warner about how “inexcusable” it is to “risk sources and
methods,” despite the fact that the reports themselves indicate Trump did
neither of those things. If it was so terrible for Trump to name a city in
Syria to the Russian Foreign Minister in a private meeting, how terrible was it
for the media to publicly inform ISIS that they might be harboring a spy in a
Syrian city?
In other words, this
coverage is another stream of insinuations about what Trump kinda, sorta, but
actually didn’t—but the articles themselves did—do.
So multiple people learned
of this event, and went out and leaked it (which is illegal to do for most
anyone besides the President, the WaPo helpfully notes), not just with the
WaPo’s two reporters, but with reporters from Buzzfeed, NYT, WSJ, and more.
They leaked it to reporters who they presumably knew would then report it,
alerting the frustrated ally that Trump had shared the information, which is a
blow to that relationship, and also alerting the frustrated ally that they then
proceeded to go leak it more.
And it’s all based on the
blithe assumption that Trump telling Russia about dangers to civilian aircraft
is worse than the American media itself informing ISIS about a spy in their
midst.
It seemed obvious to me
that its main purpose or these stories was to continue fomenting antagonism
with Russia, and to perpetuate the notion, taken up enthusiastically and disturbingly by liberals, that the
main problem with the omni-incompetent Donald Trump is that he is too friendly
with Russia.
Combined with the other
fear-mongering article about the North Korean missile test featured on the NYT,
I thought media project for the day was to keep the war drums beating, and I
was prompted to begin writing something about that.
Then I noticed (thanks to a
tweet by Max Blunenthal) that Alan Dershowitz had called the
Trump-betrayed-ally’s-secrets-to-Russia story “the most serious charge ever
made against a sitting president.” It had been evident to me, in reading the
coverage, that there was only one “Middle Eastern ally” (or ally of any region)
which has the chutzpah to “warn” the United States “it would cut off access
to…sensitive information”—while itself stealing, with impunity, America’s most
closely-guarded secrets. As Newsweek reported in 2014:
“Israel has been caught carrying out aggressive espionage operations against
American targets for decades… They just don’t get arrested very often.” (Also
see here, here, and here). There is only one ally
about whose “compromise” Republicans and Democrats would be so unanimously
concerned, and certainly only one who would have prompted the ridiculous charge
by Dershowitz. And within an hour, the NYT confirmed,
again via a “current and former American official,” that Israel was the ally in
question, the source of the “secret intelligence.”
So now we have the American
media explicitly revealing to Russia, ISIS, and the world, the supposedly key
piece of information that Trump was being excoriated for even implying.
Now perhaps these “current
and former American officials” who are leaking all this ultra-sensitive
classified intelligence information are entirely neutral about, or even
unsympathetic to, Israel; and perhaps they and the media outlets publicizing
their leaks—a few hours after insisting that identifying the secret ally would
harm it—put Israel’s name out because they are committed to letting the public
know the truth, no matter whom it hurts. Or perhaps these officials and these
media outlets are in fact supportive of Israel, and would only publicize
information they know that Israel wants revealed (or at least has no objection
to revealing). Everyone will have to decide, based on his/her understanding of
American-Israeli political and media relations, which of those scenarios is
more likely.
I think the latter. I also
notice that, in the last week or so, there have been reports in the American and Israeli press that
Netanyahu’s “honeymoon with Trump” has “ended abruptly,” that there have been
“harsh exchanges” with Trump administration officials who told members of
Netanyahu’s team, to their “utter shock,” that the Western Wall was “not your
territory but rather part of the West Bank,” and that Netanyahu is now “wary” and increasingly
mistrustful of Trump.
Now, to be clear: I do not
think that Israel or Zionism has anything to fear from Donald Trump. I never
thought that he was going to transform American foreign policy, to make it less
interventionist or more focused on the concerns of Americans. But I also think
Trump is an inconsistent and impetuous actor, capable of wild swings in policy
that are perceived as dangerous even by those powerful interests who think they
can keep him under control. I think that is becoming more obvious, and of
greater concern to a larger swath of important players.
I suspect this
betrayal-of-an-ally-to-Russia story, and the frantic news cycle it has
generated, means that Israel is showing its concern. And that is bad news for
Donald Trump. Israel is a very powerful player, with its hooks embedded
throughout the Deep State apparatus. The frantic news cycle that followed—with
another blaring headline a few hours later about how Trump asked Comey to stop
the Flynn investigation, a spate of articles about how Trump is a criminal president who might have obstructed justice and betrayed his
oath, and an announcement that the impeachment clock is running—means that
big guns are blazing, and Trump is now in another realm of trouble.
Three days ago, I endorsed
the point, made by Musa Al-Gharbi and others, that it
would be virtually impossible for Trump to be impeached. I found Robert Parry’s
scenario of a “soft coup” by sectors of the
intelligence apparatus very unlikely. Given the make-up of Congress, it would
only happen if the Republicans turned against him en masse, and
they would only do that if his inconsistency and incompetence were seriously
undermining their agenda (as those faults well might). But,
since their legislative agenda is going to be so unpopular, they must be able
to portray any impeachment as a bi-partisan project of national urgency.
Russiagate has been cultivated
by the Democrats and their confected #Resistance to provide a rationale for
Republicans to install a more stable and predictable Republican president who
will color within the established partisan lines, and with whom the Democrats
can more effectively plan wars and Grand-Bargain away Social Security and
Medicare. But Russiagate has not yet gained enough traction with Republican
congresscritters, who would face a revolt of their Trump voters against any
acquiescence to an impeachment driven by Nancy Pelosi, vagina-hatted
protestors, and Steven Colbert. If, however, impeachment becomes driven by
concern for our betrayed Middle Eastern ally; if Dershowitz is right that “The
demographics are clear. Republicans now support Israel much more strongly than
Democrats”; and if Mike Pence, Ted Cruz, and the Congressional Israel Victory Caucus take the outstretched
hands of concerned constitution- and FBI-loving liberals, then the prospects
improve dramatically. (Though you know this to be true, don’t forget: It’s Russia that
interferes too much in American politics.)
The Democratic Party and the
#Resistance are not going to impeach Donald Trump. The Democratic and
Republican Parties can and will if they want to. And, as they never cease
proclaiming, what Israel wants, they want.
Fast and furiously, in the
course of a single news cycle, the game has changed: Donald Trump has been
accused of betraying Israel. Impeachment is possible.
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