Friday, August 23, 2019

Are the Russian and Chinese Governments Completely Stupid?


Are the Russian and Chinese Governments Completely Stupid?




Are the Russian and Chinese Governments Completely Stupid?


It would appear so. Both governments are “concerned” about foreign-financed NGOs fomenting sedition in their countries. Really? If they are concerned, why do they permit American-financed organizations operating against them to exist?
Global Research, August 22, 2019
Region: AsiaUSA
Theme: Intelligence
This article first published almost five years ago on October 1, 2014 is of particular relevance to an understanding of recent developments in Hong Kong.
***
Just as the US admitted shortly after the so-called “Arab Spring” began spreading chaos across the Middle East that it had fully funded, trained, and equipped both mob leaders and heavily armed terrorists years in advance, it is now admitted that the US State Department through a myriad of organizations and NGOs is behind the so-called “Occupy Central” protests in Hong Kong. 
The Washington Post would report in an article titled, “Hong Kong erupts even as China tightens screws on civil society,” that:
Chinese leaders unnerved by protests elsewhere this year have been steadily tightening controls over civic organizations on the mainland suspected of carrying out the work of foreign powers.

What Globalism Did Was To Transfer The US Economy To China Paul Craig Roberts


What Globalism Did Was To Transfer The US Economy To China

What Globalism Did Was To Transfer The US Economy To China
Paul Craig Roberts
The main problem with the US economy is that globalism has been deconstructing it. The offshoring of US jobs has reduced US manufacturing and industrial capability and associated innovation, research, development, supply chains, consumer purchasing power, and tax base of state and local governments. Corporations have increased short-term profits at the expense of these long-term costs. In effect, the US economy is being moved out of the First World into the Third World.
Tariffs are not a solution. The Trump administration says that the tariffs are paid by China, but unless Apple, Nike, Levi, and all of the offshoring companies got an exemption from the tariffs, the tariffs fall on the offshored production of US firms that are sold to US consumers. The tariffs will either reduce the profits of the US firms or be paid by US purchasers of the products in higher prices. The tariffs will hurt China only by reducing Chinese employment in the production of US goods for US markets.
The financial media is full of dire predictions of the consequences of a US/China “trade war.” There is no trade war. A trade war is when countries try to protect their industries by placing tariff barriers on the import of cheaper products from foreign countries. But half or more of the imports from China are imports from US companies. Trump’s tariffs, or a large part of them, fall on US corporations or US consumers.
One has to wonder that there is not a single economist anywhere in the Trump administration, the Federal Reserve, or anywhere else in Washington capable of comprehending the situation and conveying an understanding to President Trump.
One consequence of Washington’s universal economic ignorance is that the financial media has concocted the story that “Trump’s tariffs” are not only driving Americans into recession but also the entire world. Somehow tariffs on Apple computers and iPhones, Nike footwear, and Levi jeans are sending the world into recession or worse. This is an extraordinary economic conclusion, but the capacity for thought has pretty much disappeared in the United States.
In the financial media the question is: Will the Trump tariffs cause a US/world recession that costs Trump his reelection? This is a very stupid question. The US has been in a recession for two or more decades as its manufacturing/industrial/engineering capability has been transferred abroad. The US recession has been very good for the Asian part of the world. Indeed, China owes its faster than expected rise as a world power to the transfer of American jobs, capital, technology, and business know-how to China simply in order that US shareholders could receive capital gains and US executives could receive bonus pay for producing them by lowering labor costs.
Apparently, neoliberal economists, an oxymoron, cannot comprehend that if US corporations produce the goods and services that they market to Americans offshore, it is the offshore locations that benefit from the economic activity.
Offshore production started in earnest with the Soviet collapse as India and China opened their economies to the West. Globalism means that US corporations can make more money by abandoning their American work force. But what is true for the individual company is not true for the aggregate. Why? The answer is that when many corporations move their production for US markets offshore, Americans, unemployed or employed in lower paying jobs, lose the power to purchase the offshored goods.
I have reported for years that US jobs are no longer middle class jobs. The jobs have been declining for years in terms of value-added and pay. With this decline, aggregate demand declines. We have proof of this in the fact that for years US corporations have been using their profits not for investment in new plant and equipment, but to buy back their own shares. Any economist worthy of the name should instantly recognize that when corporations repurchase their shares rather than invest, they see no demand for increased output. Therefore, they loot their corporations for bonuses, decapitalizing the companies in the process. There is perfect knowledge that this is what is going on, and it is totally inconsistent with a growing economy.
As is the labor force participation rate. Normally, economic growth results in a rising labor force participation rate as people enter the work force to take advantage of the jobs. But throughout the alleged economic boom, the participation rate has been falling, because there are no jobs to be had.
In the 21st century the US has been decapitalized and living standards have declined. For a while the process was kept going by the expansion of debt, but consumer income has not kept pace and consumer debt expansion has reached its limits.
The Fed/Treasury “plunge protection team” can keep the stock market up by purchasing S&P futures. The Fed can pump out more money to drive up financial asset prices. But the money doesn’t drive up production, because the jobs and the economic activity that jobs represent have been sent abroad. What globalism did was to transfer the US economy to China.
Real statistical analysis, as contrasted with the official propaganda, shows that the happy picture of a booming economy is an illusion created by statistical deception. Inflation is undermeasured, so when nominal GDP is deflated, the result is to count higher prices as an increase in real output, that is, inflation becomes real economic growth. Unemployment is not counted. If you have not searched for a job in the past 4 weeks, you are officially not a part of the work force and your unemployment is not counted. The way the government counts unemployment is so extraordinary that I am surprised the US does not have a zero rate of unemployment.
How does a country recover when it has given its economy away to a foreign country that it now demonizes as an enemy? What better example is there of a ruling class that is totally incompetent than one that gives its economy bound and gagged to an enemy so that its corporate friends can pocket short-term riches?
We can’t blame this on Trump. He inherited the problem, and he has no advisers who can help him understand the problem and find a solution. No such advisers exist among neoliberal economists. I can only think of four economists who could help Trump, and one of them is a Russian.
The conclusion is that the United States is locked on a path that leads directly to the Third World of 60 years ago. President Trump is helpless to do anything about it.

Thursday, August 22, 2019

DE -- Manlio Dinucci -- „DIE KUNST DES KRIEGES“ -- Unter dem „Schutzschild“ der US-Nuklearwaffen in Europa



 „DIE KUNST DES KRIEGES“  
Unter dem „Schutzschild“ der US-Nuklearwaffen in Europa
von Manlio Dinucci



Der NATO-Raketenstandort Deveselu in Rumänien, der Teil des „Verteidigungsraketen“-systems der USA Aegis ist, hat sein im vergangenen April begonnenes „Update“ abgeschlossen. Das Kommuniqué der NATO versichert, dass sie dem System eine „nicht-offensive Kapazität“ hinzugefügt hat, die „rein defensiv ist und sich auf potenzielle Bedrohungen von außerhalb der euro-atlantischen Region konzentriert“.
Der Deveselu ist (gemäß der offiziellen Beschreibung) mit 24 Raketen ausgestattet, die in vertikalen Untergrund-Startrampen zum Abfangen von kurz- und mittelstrecken-ballistischen Raketen installiert sind. Ein weiterer Standort, der 2020 am polnischen Standort in Redzikowo in Betrieb gehen soll, wird ebenfalls mit diesem System ausgestattet.
An Bord von vier Kreuzern der US Navy, die auf der spanischen Basis Rota eingesetzt werden, sind Trägerraketen des gleichen Typs installiert, die im Mittelmeer, im Schwarzen Meer und in der Ostsee unterwegs sind. Der Einsatz dieser Trägerraketen zeigt, dass das System nicht gegen die „iranische Bedrohung“ (wie die USA und die NATO behaupten), sondern vor allem gegen Russland gerichtet ist.
Dass dieser so genannte „Schutzschild“ nicht „rein defensiv“ ist, zeigt sich an der Kriegsindustrie, die ihn gebaut hat - Lockheed Martin. Sie dokumentieren, dass das System „für jede Rakete in jedem Träger ausgelegt“ und damit an „jede Kriegsmission“ angepasst ist, einschließlich „Angriffe auf landgestützte Ziele“. Lockheed Martin erklärt, dass die größeren Rampen in der Lage sind, „die größten Raketen zu starten, wie sie zur Verteidigung gegen ballistische Raketen und für Langstreckenangriffe vorgesehen sind“. Sie geben daher zu, dass die Anlagen in Rumänien und Polen und die vier Kriegsschiffe des Aegis-Systems nicht nur mit Raketenabwehrraketen, sondern auch mit Tomahawk-Marschflugkörpern mit Atomsprengköpfen ausgestattet werden können, die Ziele in Tausenden von Kilometern Entfernung erreichen können.
Wie der Congressional Research Service (24. Juli 2019) dokumentiert, sind die vier US-Kriegsschiffe, die „in europäischen Gewässern operieren, um Europa vor möglichen ballistischen Raketenangriffen zu schützen“, Teil einer Flotte von 38 Aegis-Schiffen, die 2024 auf 59 anwachsen wird.
Für das Geschäftsjahr 2020 wurden 1,8 Milliarden Dollar für die Weiterentwicklung dieses Systems, einschließlich der Standorte in Rumänien und Polen, bereitgestellt. Weitere land- und seegestützte Anlagen des Aegis-Systems werden nicht nur in Europa gegen Russland, sondern auch in Asien und im Pazifik gegen China stationiert. Nach den Plänen wird Japan auf seinem eigenen Territorium zwei von den USA eingerichtete Raketenstandorte installieren, und Südkorea und Australien werden auch Kriegsschiffe des gleichen Systems aus den USA kaufen.
Darüber hinaus wurde während der drei Monate, in denen die Deveselu-Ausrüstung in die USA gebracht wurde, um „aktualisiert“ zu werden, eine Reihe mobiler THAAD-Raketen der US-Landarmee auf dem rumänischen Standort stationiert, die in der Lage sind, „eine außeratmosphärische ballistische Rakete abzufeuern“, aber auch Langstrecken-Atomraketen zu starten.
Seit der Rekalibrierung des Aegis-Systems - gemäß den Mitteilungen der NATO - wurde das THAAD-System „verlegt“. Die NATO hat nicht angegeben wohin, aber wir wissen, dass die US-Armee Raketenbatterien von Israel auf die Insel Guam im Pazifik gebracht hat.
In Anbetracht dieser Tatsachen werden wir in dem Moment, in dem die USA den INF-Vertrag zerrissen haben, um Mittelstreckenraketen an den Grenzen zu Russland und China zu stationieren, nicht von der Ankündigung überrascht sein - die von Senator Viktor Bondarev, dem Präsidenten des Verteidigungsausschusses, in Moskau abgegeben wurde -, dass Russland Tu-22M3-Atomangriffsbomber auf der Krim stationiert hat.
Aber fast niemand untersucht das, denn in der EU werden all diese Informationen durch den politisch-medialen Apparat verborgen.
Manlio Dinucci

Übersetzung:K.R.
Quelle: Il Manifesto (Italien)

Il manifesto, 19 august 2019

* Navy Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) Program: Background and Issues for Congress Updated July 24, 2019 -- https://fas.org/sgp/crs/weapons/RL33745.pdf



DECLARATION OF FLORENCE
FOR AN INTERNATIONAL FRONT NATO EXIT

DANSK DEUTSCH ENGLISH ESPAÑOL  FRANÇAIS ITALIANO  NEDERLANDS
PORTUGUÊS ROMÎNA SLOVENSKÝ SVENSKA TÜRKÇE РУССКИЙ

Manlio Dinucci

Geographer and geopolitical scientist. His latest books are Laboratorio di geografia, Zanichelli 2014 ; Diario di viaggio, Zanichelli 2017 ; L’arte della guerra / Annali della strategia Usa/Nato 1990-2016, Zambon 2016, Guerra Nucleare. Il Giorno Prima 2017; Diario di guerra Asterios Editores 2018, Premio internazionale per l'analisi geostrategica assegnato il 7 giugno 2019 dal Club dei giornalisti del Messico, A.C.

NL -- Manlio Dinucci -- "DE KUNST VAN DE OORLOG" -- Onder het "schild" van Amerikaanse nucleaire wapens in Europa



 "DE KUNST VAN DE OORLOG
Onder het "schild" van Amerikaanse nucleaire wapens in Europa
door: Manlio Dinucci




De NAVO-raketbasis in Deveselu in Roemenië (foto), die deel uitmaakt van het Amerikaanse Aegis-"defensieraketten"-systeem, is afgelopen april begonnen met de "update". Het communiqué van de NAVO verzekert dat het "geen offensieve capaciteit aan het systeem" heeft toegevoegd, dat "puur defensief blijft, gericht op mogelijke bedreigingen van buiten de Euro-Atlantische regio".

De Deveselu is uitgerust (volgens de officiële beschrijving) met 24 raketten, geïnstalleerd in verticale ondergrondse verticale lanceerinrichtingen, voor de onderschepping van ballistische raketten van korte en middellange afstand. Een andere site, die in 2020 operationeel zal worden op de Poolse basis in Redzikowo, zal ook met dit systeem worden uitgerust.

Lanceerders van hetzelfde type worden geïnstalleerd aan boord van vier kruisers van de Amerikaanse marine, gestationeerd op de Spaanse basis van Rota, die zich in de Middellandse Zee, de Zwarte Zee en de Baltische Zee bevinden. De inzet van deze draagraketten zelf toont aan dat het systeem niet gericht is tegen de "Iraanse dreiging" (zoals de VS en de NAVO beweren), maar vooral tegen Rusland.

Dat dit zogenaamde "schild" niet "puur defensief" is, blijkt uit de oorlogsindustrie die het gebouwd heeft - Lockheed Martin. Zij documenteren dat het systeem "ontworpen is om geïnstalleerd te worden voor elke raket in elke lanceerinrichting", en dus aangepast kan worden aan "elke oorlogsmissie", met inbegrip van "aanvallen op doelen op het land". Lockheed Martin verduidelijkt dat de grotere platformen in staat zijn om "de grootste raketten te lanceren, zoals deze die bestemd zijn voor de verdediging tegen ballistische raketten en deze die bestemd zijn voor langeafstandsaanvallen". Zij geven dus toe dat de installaties in Roemenië en Polen en de vier oorlogsschepen van het Aegis-systeem niet alleen kunnen worden uitgerust met raketafweerraketten, maar ook met Tomahawk kruisraketten met kernkoppen, die in staat zijn om duizenden kilometers verderop doelen te raken.

Zoals gedocumenteerd door de Congressional Research Service (24 juli 2019), maken de vier Amerikaanse oorlogsschepen die "in Europese wateren opereren om Europa te verdedigen tegen mogelijke ballistische raketaanvallen", deel uit van een vloot van 38 Aegis-schepen die in 2024 zal stijgen tot 59 schepen.

In het fiscale jaar 2020 wordt 1,8 miljard dollar uitgetrokken voor de verbetering van dit systeem, inclusief de vestigingen in Roemenië en Polen. Andere land- en zee-installaties van het Aegis-systeem zullen niet alleen in Europa worden ingezet tegen Rusland, maar ook in Azië en de Stille Oceaan tegen China. Volgens de plannen zal Japan op zijn eigen grondgebied twee door de VS aangeleverde raketlocaties installeren en zullen Zuid-Korea en Australië ook oorlogsschepen van hetzelfde systeem uit de VS kopen.

Tijdens de drie maanden waarin de Deveselu-apparatuur naar de VS werd gebracht om "geüpdatet" te worden, werd bovendien een batterij mobiele THAAD-raketten van het Amerikaanse landleger op de Roemeense site ingezet, met de capaciteit om "een extra atmosferische ballistische raket neer te schieten", maar ook om langeafstandsraketten te lanceren.

Sinds de herijking van het Aegis-systeem - volgens de NAVO-communicatie - is het THAAD-systeem " verplaatst". De NAVO heeft niet aangegeven waar, maar we weten wel dat het Amerikaanse leger raketbatterijen van Israël tot het eiland Guam in de Stille Oceaan heeft gestationeerd.

In het licht van deze feiten, op het moment dat de VS het INF-verdrag hebben verbroken om middellangeafstandsraketten te kunnen installeren aan de grenzen van Rusland en China, zullen we niet verbaasd zijn over de aankondiging - die in Moskou is gedaan door senator Viktor Bondarev, de voorzitter van de Defensiecommissie - dat Rusland de Tu-22M3-bommenwerpers voor kernaanvallen in Crimea heeft gestationeerd.

Maar bijna niemand onderzoekt dit, want in de EU wordt al deze informatie verborgen door het politiek-mediale apparaat.

Nederlandse vertaling: Martien

Il manifesto, 19 august 2019

* Navy Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) Program: Background and Issues for Congress Updated July 24, 2019 -- https://fas.org/sgp/crs/weapons/RL33745.pdf



DECLARATION OF FLORENCE
FOR AN INTERNATIONAL FRONT NATO EXIT

DANSK DEUTSCH ENGLISH ESPAÑOL  FRANÇAIS ITALIANO  NEDERLANDS
PORTUGUÊS ROMÎNA SLOVENSKÝ SVENSKA TÜRKÇE РУССКИЙ



Manlio Dinucci

Geographer and geopolitical scientist. His latest books are Laboratorio di geografia, Zanichelli 2014 ; Diario di viaggio, Zanichelli 2017 ; L’arte della guerra / Annali della strategia Usa/Nato 1990-2016, Zambon 2016, Guerra Nucleare. Il Giorno Prima 2017; Diario di guerra Asterios Editores 2018, Premio internazionale per l'analisi geostrategica assegnato il 7 giugno 2019 dal Club dei giornalisti del Messico, A.C.

RO -- Manlio Dinucci -- SUA reînvie rachetele Comiso



SUA reînvie rachetele Comiso
Manlio Dinucci


Pentagonul a anunțat că a efectuat un test de rachete de croazieră (cruise), cu baza la sol, pe data de 18 august, în Pacific. Lansat de pe o platformă mobilă de pe insula San Nicolas din California, a atins ținta la mai mult de 500 km distanță. Datele colectate în cadrul testului - informeaza Pentagonul - vor servi la dezvoltarea capacităților viitoare a rachetelor din gama medie”. Retras din Tratatul INF din 1987 - care a eliminat toate rachetele nucleare americane și sovietice din gama medie (între 500 până la 5500 km) cu baza la sol, inclusiv rachetele de croazieră instalate în Comiso - SUA au început o nouă cursă periculoasă a armelor nucleare.

Lansarea primei rachete din categoria interzisă anterior de Tratatul INF, a fost facuta la numai 16 zile doar, de la retragerea definitivă a SUA din Tratat, anunțată de Secretarul de Stat Mike Pompeo, pe 2 august. Acest lucru confirmă faptul că, în timp ce Tratatul INF era încă în vigoare, Statele Unite au produs o primă rachetă din categoria interzisă de Tratat.

În 2014, guvernul Obama a acuzat Rusia, fără a furniza vreo dovada, că a experimentat o rachetă de croazieră (9M729) din categoria interzisă de Tratat și, în 2015, a anunțat că “în fata încălcarii Tratatului INF de către Rusia, Statele Unite au în vedere instalarea de rachete cu baza la sol, în Europa”. Planul a fost confirmat de Administrația Trump: în 2018, Congresul a autorizat finanțarea unui program de cercetare și dezvoltare pentru o rachetă de croazieră lansată de la sol de o platformă mobilă (capabilă să circule) pe o autostradă.

Imaginile testului divulgat de Pentagon, arată că racheta iese dintr-un lansator vertical, cum sunt cele utilizate de sistemul de apărare antirachete Aegis” al SUA, deja instalat în localul rachetelor NATO, în Deveselu, România (și în anul viitor în Polonia), și în patru nave ale Marinei SUA care, situate la baza spaniolă de la Rota, navighează în Mediterana, în Marea Neagră și în Marea Baltică. Aceeași industrie de război care a creat sistemul Aegis, Lockheed Martin, documentează că sistemul este proiectat pentru a instala orice rachetă în orice tub de lansare, deci este potrivit pentru orice misiune de război, inclusiv atacul asupra obiectivelor de la sol ”.

În imposibilitatea de a verifica ce rachete sunt instalate pe lansatoarele verticale din vecinătatea teritoriului său, Rusia presupune că de asemenea există și rachete nucleare și acționează în consecință.

Imediat ce vor fi produse noile rachete nucleare (atât de croazieră, cât și balistice) din categoria interzisă anterior de Tratatul INF, SUA vor cere aliaților europeni să le găzduiască”, și să fie astfel în prima linie a confruntării nucleare cu Rusia. Care va fi răspunsul viitorului guvern italian?

(il manifesto, 21 August 2019)
Tradus: Light Journalist



«DECLARATIA DE LA FLORENTA»

Manlio Dinucci
Geograf și geopolitolog. Cele mai recente cărți: Laboratorio di geografia, Zanichelli 2014; Diario di viaggio, Zanichelli 2017L'arte della guerra / Annali della strategia USA / NATO 1990-2016, Zambon 2016, Guerra Nucleare. Il Giorno Prima 2017; Diario di guerra Asterios Editores 2018, Prémio Internacional de Análise Geostratégica acordat pe 7 iunie 2019 de Club de Periodistas de México, A.C.

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NA PRMEIRA PESSOA

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Personagens Principais em 'Na Primeira Pessoa'

Parte Um: O Filho

Parte Dois: O Estudante

Parte Três: O Estudante Universitário

Parte Quatro: O Jovem especialista

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