I appreciate the insightfulness of Dmitry Orlov and The Saker. In this
article, Orlov examines the effects of Obama’s foreign interventions and
concludes that Obama has been more successful than a Russian spy in advancing
Sometimes a case
looks weak because there is no “smoking gun”—no obvious, direct evidence of
conspiracy, malfeasance or evil intent—but once you tally up all the evidence
it forms a coherent and damning picture. And so it is with the Obama
administration vis à vis Russia: by feigning hostile intent it did everything
possible to further Russia’s agenda.
And although it
is always possible to claim that all of Obama’s failures stem from mere
incompetence, at some point this claim begins to ring hollow; how can he
possibly be so utterly competent… at being incompetent? Perhaps he just used
incompetence as a veil to cover his true intent, which was always to bolster
Russia while rendering the US maximally irrelevant in world affairs.
Obama’s major foreign policy initiatives from this angle.
greatest achievement of his eight years has been the destruction of Libya.
Under the false pretense of a humanitarian intervention what was once the most
prosperous and stable country in the entire North Africa has been reduced to a
rubble-strewn haven for Islamic terrorists and a transit point for economic
migrants streaming into the European Union. This had the effect of pushing
Russia and China together, prompting them to start voting against the US
together as a block in the UN Security Council.
In a single
blow, Obama assured an important element of his legacy as a Russian agent: no
longer will the US be able to further its agenda through this very important
presided over the violent overthrow of the constitutional government in the
Ukraine and the installation of an American puppet regime there. When Crimea
then voted to rejoin Russia, Obama imposed sanctions on the Russian Federation.
These moves may seem like they were designed to hurt Russia, but let’s look at
the results instead of the intentions.
regained control of an important, strategic region. Second, the sanctions and
the countersanctions allowed Russia to concentrate on import replacement,
building up the domestic economy. This was especially impressive in
agriculture, and Russia now earns more export revenue from foodstuffs than from
weapons. Third, the severing of economic ties with the Ukraine allowed Russia
to eliminate a major economic competitor. Fourth, over a million Ukrainians
decided to move to Russia, either temporarily or permanently, giving Russia a
major demographic boost and giving it access to a pool of Russian-speaking
skilled labor. (Most Ukrainians are barely distinguishable from the general
Russian population.) Fifth, whereas before the Ukraine was in a position to
extort concessions from Russia by playing games with the natural gas pipelines
that lead from Russia to the European Union, now Russia’s hands have been
untied, resulting in new pipeline deals with Turkey and Germany.
Russia reaped all the benefits from the Ukrainian stalemate, while the US
gained an unsavory, embarrassing dependent.
“achievement” was in carefully shepherding the Syrian conflict into a cul de
sac. (Some insist on calling it a civil war, although virtually all of the
fighting there has between the entire Syrian nation and foreign-funded outside
To this end,
Obama deployed an array of tactics. He simultaneously supported, armed, trained
and fought various terrorist groups, making a joke of the usual US technique of
using “terrorism by proxy.” He made ridiculous claims that the Syrian
government had used chemical weapons against its own people, which immediately
reminded everyone of similarly hollow claims about Saddam’s WMDs while offering
Russia a legitimate role to play in resolving the Syrian conflict. He made
endless promises to separate “moderate opposition” from dyed-in-the-wool
terrorists, but repeatedly failed to do so, thus giving the Russians ample
scope to take care of the situation as they saw fit. He negotiated several
cease fires, then violated them.
There have been
other achievements as well. By constantly talking up the nonexistent “Russian
threat” and scaremongering about “Russian aggression” and “Russian invasion”
(of which no evidence existed), and by holding futile military exercises in
Eastern Europe and especially in the geopolitically irrelevant Baltics, Obama
managed to deprive NATO of any residual legitimacy it once might have had,
turning it into a sad joke.
Obama’s most significant service on behalf of the Russian nation was in
throwing the election to Donald Trump. This he did by throwing his support
behind the ridiculously inept and corrupt Hillary Clinton. She outspent Trump
by a factor of two, but apparently no amount of money could buy her the
presidency. As a result of Obama’s steadfast efforts, the US will now have a
Russia-friendly president who is eager to make deals with Russia, but will have
to do so from a significantly weakened negotiating position.
As I have been
arguing for the last decade, it is a foregone conclusion that the United States
is going to slide from its position of global dominance. But it was certainly
helpful to have Obama grease the skids, and now it’s up to Donald Trump to
finish the job.
Obama’s contribution was especially helpful to Russia, I propose that he be
awarded the Russian Federation’s Order of Friendship, to go with his Nobel